Lipoti laposachedwa la National Retail Federation US ocean import lipoti lomwe kuchuluka kwamphamvu - pafupifupi mamiliyoni awiri TEU - akuyerekezeredwa mu Ogasiti kupitilira mpaka Okutobala, kuwonetsa chiyembekezo chowonjezeka pakati pa ogulitsa kunja kuti apeze mphamvu za ogula panyengo yatchuthi, malinga ndi msika wonyamula katundu wa Freightos.
Ziwonetserozi zili ndi Seputembala ndi Okutobala kuchuluka kwa 6-7 peresenti kuposa mu 2019, kutsatiridwa ndi kutsika pang'ono mu Novembala ndi Disembala, komwe kuli pafupifupi 15 peresenti kuposa mliri usanachitike. Mphamvu za Q4 mochedwa izi zitha kukhala chizindikiro cha kubwezeredwa kwazinthu zonse, chifukwa katunduyu amafika mochedwa kwambiri patchuthi.
Zomwe zaposachedwa kuchokera kumakampani opanga zamagetsi zikuwonetsa zizindikiro za chiyembekezo kuti kufunikira kwa zigawo ndi zomaliza zidzabweranso kumapeto kwa chaka.
Mawonekedwe a voliyumu
Ma voliyumu onyamula katundu akuwonjezeka pang'onopang'ono, malinga ndi zomwe zasonkhanitsidwa ndi pulogalamu yapadziko lonse ya Descartes Descartes Datamyne. Kuchuluka kwa zotengera zaku US mu Ogasiti kudakwera pang'ono poyerekeza ndi Julayi 2023, zomwe zimagwirizana bwino ndi kukwera komwe kumachitika munyengo yanthawi yayitali mzaka zomwe sizinali mliri. Ngakhale kukwera kwa voliyumu, nthawi zoyendera madoko zidakhalabe zotsika kwambiri kuyambira pomwe Descartes adayamba kuwatsata.
Kutsatira kuthetsa mkangano wantchito, madoko aku West Coast apeza gawo la msika, adatero Descartes. Madoko aku West Coast aku Los Angeles ndi Long Beach adawonetsa kuchuluka kwakukulu kwa chidebe chonse, pomwe madoko aku New York / New Jersey ndi Savannah adatsika kwambiri.
Ngakhale chilala ku Panama chikusokoneza kuchuluka kwa magalimoto, kuchuluka kwa zotengera zaku US kukuwoneka kuti sikukukhudzidwa. Ma voliyumu pa madoko a Gulf m'miyezi iwiri yapitayi akhala akukwera kwambiri chaka chino ndipo nthawi zoyendera zakhala zotsika nthawi zonse.
Zogulitsa zaku China mu Ogasiti 2023 zidakula, a Descartes adati: Panali chiwonjezeko ndi 1.5 peresenti kuposa pa Julayi 2023, koma adatsika ndi 17.1 peresenti kuchokera ku A.og 2022 mkulu. China idayimira 37.9 peresenti yazomwe zidatumizidwa ku US mu Ogasiti, kutsika pang'ono kwa 0.4 peresenti kuyambira Julayi, komabe kutsika ndi 3.6 peresenti kuchokera pa 41.5 peresenti mu February 2022.
Mulingo wamayendedwe
Onyamula akhala akuvutika kuti akhazikike kapena kuonjezera mitengo, malinga ndi Freightos. Mitengo ya Transpacific ku West Coast yatsika pang'ono - pafupifupi 7 peresenti mu September - ndipo mitengo ku East Coast yakhala ikuyandikira. Kukhazikika kumeneku mu Seputembala - ngakhale mitengoyi, ngakhale yokwera kwambiri, imathandizidwabe pang'ono ndi zoletsa zazikulu za onyamulira - zitha kuwonetsa kusasinthika kwamavoliyumu omwe akuyembekezeka ndi NRF komanso kuthekera kwa chiwongola dzanja chapakati koma chokhazikika mpaka Okutobala.
Koma kuchepetsa mitengo - ngakhale kutsika pang'ono - m'masabata atangotsala pang'ono kuti Golide Sabata ichitike pomwe mitengo imakhala yokwera kwambiri, komanso malipoti ochulukirapo a kuchepa kwa kusungitsa m'nyanja, kuloza mbali ina, adatero Freightos.
Mu webinar yaposachedwa yamsika, a Robert Khachatryan, CEO wa katundu wonyamula katundu Freight Right Logistics, adati makasitomala ambiri akuwonetsa "kutsika kwa madongosolo ndi ziyembekezo zakutsika kwa ndalama za ogula mu Q4," komanso kuti mitengo yonyamula katundu ikutsika patsogolo pa Golden Week yokha. kuwonjezera kukayikira kuti chiŵerengero chapamwamba cha chaka chino chidzapitirirabe mpaka September kapena kupitirira.
Ngati kufunikira kukucheperachepera pamene mphamvu ikukulirakulira, onyamula adzakumana ndi zovuta zina kuti mitengo ikhale yokwera.
Kuchulukirachulukira pamsika kukukakamiza ena kusagwira ntchito zombo zazikulu zatsopano asanayende ulendo wawo woyamba kuchokera ku Asia kupita ku Europe. Mitengo pamsewuwu idatsika ndi 8 peresenti sabata yatha kufika $ 1,608 / FEU, adatero Freightos, ngakhale mitengo imakhalabe pamwamba pa milingo ya 2019. Poyankha, onyamula akulengeza maulendo owonjezera opanda kanthu ngakhale masabata pambuyo pa tchuthi cha Golden Week, kutanthauza kuti kufunikira kukuyembekezeka kuchepa m'masabata omwe nthawi zambiri amakhala ku Asia - N. Europe.
Ngakhale kuti mafunde am'nyanja akuti amakhalabe olimba ku Asia - malonda aku Mediterranean, mitengo ikutsika. Kutsika kumeneku mwina kumayendetsedwa ndi zonyamulira zomwe zikuwonjezera mphamvu zambiri m'miyezi yaposachedwa popeza kufunikira kwakhala kolimba; tsopano akuchotsa mphamvu zoyesera ndi kufanana ndi ma voliyumu.
Onyamulira nawonso adasamutsa zombo zambiri kupita ku malonda am'mphepete mwa nyanja ya Atlantic kwa nthawi yayitali ya chaka chino ngakhale kuchuluka kwatsika, ndipo mitengo yakhala ikutsika kwambiri chaka chathachi. Freightos adapeza kuti mitengo yatsika ndi 7 peresenti sabata yatha kufika kuchepera $ 1,100 / FEU - 45 peresenti yotsika kuposa mu 2019 - ndipo onyamula alengeza kuwonjezeka kwakukulu kwamaulendo opanda kanthu kuyesa kubweza mitengo.
Zizindikiro za nyengo ya nsonga yam'nyanja yosasunthika zikupangitsa kuti anthu azikhala opanda chiyembekezo ponena za kulimba kwa nyengo yonyamula katundu m'miyezi ikubwerayi, Freightos adamaliza. Pakadali pano, a Khachatryan akuti awona "kukwera kwina kwakufunika kosungitsa mpweya m'masabata angapo apitawa," omwe, kuphatikiza kubweza kwaulesi kwa zokopa alendo ku China sikukuwonjezera kuchuluka kwa anthu poyerekeza ndi madera ena ambiri, kungayambitse Kuwonjezeka kwa 37 peresenti ku China - N. America Freightos Air Index mitengo ya $ 4.78 / kg kuyambira kumayambiriro kwa August.
Choyambirira kuchokeraEPSNews-Zasinthidwa, Wolemba News Desk
Nthawi yotumiza: Sep-14-2023